Smart Money Flows — Week 25

LIT just printed the cleanest smart‑money buy signal of Week 25: +$253.7K in net inflows on Ethereum with zero recorded sell volume, while price stayed roughly flat at −1.1%, a rare, one‑sided accumulation profile instead of a chase-y breakout. This makes LIT the only major token where flows scream “quiet loading” rather than narrative FOMO, and it’s now overtaken last week’s leader SIREN as the standout accumulation case.

Curious what smart money might be seeing in a flat‑price, heavy‑bid setup like this?

Check out the Crypto Whales report to see all top accumulators, distribution alerts, and sector rotation maps.

Crypto markets were driven by two opposing macro catalysts on consecutive days. The FOMC meeting under Kevin Warsh delivered a hawkish surprise: while rates were held as expected, the dot plot shifted from cuts to hikes (2026 median rising to 3.8%), and forward guidance was removed entirely. The reaction was immediate, Bitcoin and ETH spot ETFs saw $111M in combined outflows, and BTC briefly dipped below $63,000.

A day later, the US and Iran signed a temporary peace deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a sharp drop in oil prices and a broad risk-on move in equities. Intel surged 10.6% on news of a new Apple foundry partnership, while the S&P 500 gained 0.93% and the Nasdaq rose 2.43%.

Get the full breakdown, charts, stocks, macro news, and top narratives in this week’s report.

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After breakout from Channel Down, the trend reversal has stalled. Price got rejected at a stiff resistance zone: $80K - $83K (200 SMA), where it got rejected 2x and pulled back to $60K support, which held up. It was also very oversold (RSI ¬ 23!).

Hence, it should bounce up near-term perhaps back to $65K (PT1) or $70K (PT2). We'd be buyers on pullbacks to that $60K support level. Stop loss at $57K.