Next week’s Fed meeting could be a positive short-term catalyst for crypto, we believe.
Market now expects an 80% chance that the Fed will raise interest rates sometime in 2026.
Next week, however, we believe that Warsh (new Fed chair), will calm the markets by saying that the current inflation increase is transitionary due to energy (oil) prices increase and that the Fed is willing to let the inflation run above its target 3% for a little while.
That could be a catalyst for BTC, which remains oversold.
Seven out of seven (7/7) times in the last 2 years when BTC was oversold (RSI < 30), it ends up in the plus 1 month later (see here).
The market remains somewhat oversold (RSI < 30), not an ideal environment for short selling. We've deliberately removed many bearish expert trade setups from our Technical Analysis page in line with our contrarian bullish near-term BTC outlook.
Sellers are being absorbed. Early momentum is building. This is the window to look for long entries.
Given our view of next week’s Fed meeting, here’s how we would go about finding some trade ideas to take advantage:
1. Strategy Spotlight: Uptrend + Fresh Bullish Momentum
Even in a sustained uptrend, prices don't move in a straight line, they swing up and down. Timing those swings correctly is what separates consistent traders from the rest.
This week's featured strategy identifies coins that are:
✅ In a medium-to-long term Uptrend
✅ Experiencing a pullback (sellers absorbing supply)
✅ Showing MACD Histogram turning positive (early bullish momentum inflection)
That combination signals buyers are back in control and a fresh upswing may be beginning.
Trade Idea: MANTA - Uptrend & Fresh Bullish Momentum
2. Strategy Spotlight: Uptrend and Fresh Momentum Inflection Bullish
This strategy targets altcoins in an uptrend and uses the MACD Histogram to catch the earliest signal that a new upswing is beginning — before most traders react.
The MACD Histogram is the fastest-reacting component of the MACD indicator. When its bars start rising from a low point — even while still negative — it signals that selling momentum is fading and buyers are stepping back in. That early inflection point is the edge.
Trading Rules:
🔎 Filter: Find altcoins in a medium-to-long term Uptrend (live screener results)
🟢 Buy when MACD Histogram begins to rise (momentum inflection)
🔴 Sell when MACD Histogram begins to decline (momentum exhaustion)
Trade Idea: HYPE - Uptrend and Fresh Momentum Inflection Bullish
3. Pullback in Uptrend "Buy the Dip"
Catching a trend at the very beginning is difficult, and risky. Conservative traders prefer to wait for a trend to establish itself, then jump in during a temporary pullback.
Even in the strongest uptrends, prices never go straight up. They rise, consolidate, pull back, then resume. Those corrections are your opportunity.
This screen finds coins in a medium-to-long term Uptrend that have pulled back over the last 7 days, giving you a lower-risk entry point into an already-proven trend.
Trading Rules:
🔎 Filter: Find coins in an Uptrend that pulled back in the last 7 days (live screener results)
📊 Check the chart visually — identify the nearest support level
🟢 Buy near the support level for the best risk/reward entry
Trade Idea: Venice Token VVV - Pullback in Uptrend
The market is oversold, BTC sentiment is turning bullish, and the Fed meeting next week could be the catalyst that sends prices higher. This is not the time to be short — it's the time to position early into quality uptrends.
Three strategies, three entry styles, pick the one that fits your risk profile
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